Skip to main content

11/06/2025 Click Above to Watch the Morning Market Talk Video Wheat Traders Sell the Fact On the Grains Soybeans traded notably lower overnight, continuing the pattern of big price swings the three previous days. In typical fashion, corn followed soybeans. Wheat futures also weakened overnight, after a string of recent strong gains, in “buy the rumor, sell the fact” trade with Chinese purchases. China’s state-owned grain trader COFCO held a soybean procurement signing ceremony at the U.S./China Agricultural Trade Cooperation Forum in Shanghai, part of the China International Import Expo. No details on purchase volumes were released, though as I previously reported, talk ahead of the event said it could be up to 5 MMT. Beijing on Nov. 10 will suspend retaliatory tariffs on many U.S. ag imports, though U.S. soybeans will still face a 13% duty in addition to the 13% VAT that is charged for all soybean imports. Note: The key difference lies in import tariff — 3% for Brazil versus 13% for the U.S. (remaining fentanyl tariff). If Trump takes off the 10% remaining fentanyl tariff, then China would likely lower the soybean tariff by 10 percentage points leaving it at the 3% MFN rate. A soybean industry…

This content is for members only.
Register
Already a member? Log in here

Futures trading involves risk. The risk of loss in trading futures and/or options is substantial and each investor and/or trader must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Trading advice is based on information taken from trades and statistical services and other sources that CommStock Investments believes to be reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice.

There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades.

The views and opinions expressed in this newsletter are those of the author and do not reflect those of R.J. O'Brien & Associates LLC. This report may contain political opinions as well as market opinions and commentary. Any content provided by Commstock Investments or authors are of their opinion and are not intended to malign any religion, ethnic group, club, organization, company, individual or anyone or anything.